SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 25 | Platense | 13 | -10 | 10 |
| 26 | Patronato | 12 | -13 | 10 |
| 27 | Talleres | 13 | -13 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Patronato win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Union had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Patronato win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Union win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Patronato | Draw | Union |
44.24% ( 1.22) | 27.42% ( -0.51) | 28.34% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 47.31% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( 1.51) | 57.83% ( -1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.44% ( 1.18) | 78.56% ( -1.18) |
| Patronato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 1.33) | 25.99% ( -1.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( 1.76) | 61.01% ( -1.77) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.26) | 36.07% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.15% ( 0.26) | 72.85% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Patronato | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.12% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.49) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.94% Total : 28.34% |
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