SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 21.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Talleres |
56.25% ( -1.57) | 22.68% ( 0.27) | 21.07% ( 1.3) |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( 0.55) | 44.98% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( 0.52) | 67.34% ( -0.52) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( -0.34) | 15.8% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.04% ( -0.63) | 44.96% ( 0.63) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 1.63) | 35.4% ( -1.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.83% ( 1.66) | 72.17% ( -1.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.43% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.07% |
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