SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 68.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
68.57% ( 1.94) | 19.81% ( -0.57) | 11.62% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( -2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.81) | 49.72% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.73) | 71.73% ( 0.73) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.33) | 13.46% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.55% ( 0.66) | 40.45% ( -0.66) |
| Atletico Tucuman Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.33% ( -2.83) | 50.67% ( 2.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.88% ( -2) | 85.11% ( 2) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Atletico Tucuman |
| 2-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.77) 1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.6)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.21)5-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.17)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.45% Total : 68.56% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.81% | 0-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.24% Total : 11.62% |
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