SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for an Arsenal Sarandi win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
71% ( 0.58) | 17.8% ( -0.36) | 11.19% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% ( 1.05) | 42.16% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 1.05) | 64.56% ( -1.05) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.4% ( 0.44) | 10.6% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.6% ( 0.97) | 34.4% ( -0.97) |
| Arsenal Sarandi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.38% ( 0.29) | 46.62% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.8% ( 0.22) | 82.2% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Arsenal Sarandi |
| 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.32)2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.98% Total : 71% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 17.8% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.19% |
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