Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
Result | ||
Instituto | Draw | River Plate |
19.86% (![]() | 25.63% (![]() | 54.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.11% (![]() | 57.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.39% (![]() | 78.61% (![]() |
Instituto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.91% (![]() | 44.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.8% (![]() | 80.2% (![]() |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% (![]() | 21.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% (![]() | 54.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Instituto | Draw | River Plate |
1-0 @ 7.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.86% | 1-1 @ 11.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 14.52% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.22% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.5% |
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