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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron

Instituto
1 - 3
River Plate

Puebla (26' pen.)
Lodico (37'), Mainero (56'), Franco (61'), Brizuela (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Colidio (57', 62', 73')
Fernandez (47'), Diaz (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 3-2 Instituto
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
InstitutoDrawRiver Plate
19.86% (-0.252 -0.25) 25.63% (0.132 0.13) 54.51% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 43.99% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (-0.713 -0.71)57.9% (0.72 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.39% (-0.565 -0.57)78.61% (0.56999999999999 0.57)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.91% (-0.697 -0.7)44.09% (0.70200000000001 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.8% (-0.577 -0.58)80.2% (0.58199999999999 0.58)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.69% (-0.235 -0.23)21.31% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.74% (-0.369 -0.37)54.26% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 19.86%
    River Plate 54.5%
    Draw 25.63%
InstitutoDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 7.7% (0.061 0.06)
2-1 @ 4.87% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.15% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.33% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.4% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 14.52% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.79% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.83% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 54.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Barracas Central 3-2 Instituto
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 1-2 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, March 29 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Rosario 1-0 Instituto
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Instituto 2-0 Huracan
Tuesday, March 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gimnasia 1-3 Instituto
Thursday, February 29 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Nacional
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Rosario
Monday, April 8 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tachira 0-2 River Plate
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 River Plate
Friday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 4-0 River Plate
Friday, March 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: River Plate 3-1 Gimnasia
Sunday, March 17 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division


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