Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 65.43%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
