SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.99%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 5.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.93%) and 1-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
81.99% ( -0.61) | 12.69% ( 0.41) | 5.31% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 37.62% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.46% ( -1.12) | 39.53% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.12% ( -1.18) | 61.88% ( 1.17) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.61% ( -0.37) | 7.38% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.37% ( -0.97) | 26.63% ( 0.97) |
| Deportivo Tachira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.62% ( -0.09) | 59.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.67% ( -0.04) | 90.33% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Deportivo Tachira |
| 2-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 12.93% ( -0.07)1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.96% Total : 81.98% | 1-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 12.69% | 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.47% Total : 5.31% |
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