SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 41.37%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 29.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Talleres |
29.24% ( 0.18) | 29.38% ( 0.09) | 41.37% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.55% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.96% ( -0.21) | 64.04% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.79% ( -0.15) | 83.21% ( 0.15) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( 0.02) | 38.76% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.51% ( 0.02) | 75.49% ( -0.02) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.47% ( -0.26) | 30.53% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.25% ( -0.31) | 66.75% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.24% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.37% | 0-1 @ 14.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.32% Total : 41.37% |
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