SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Tigre had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Tigre win was 0-1 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Tigre |
39.1% ( 0.33) | 29.4% ( 0.65) | 31.5% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 43.27% ( -1.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.48% ( -2.31) | 63.52% ( 2.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.16% ( -1.7) | 82.84% ( 1.7) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( -0.97) | 31.61% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.98% ( -1.14) | 68.02% ( 1.14) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.28% ( -1.96) | 36.72% ( 1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.49% ( -2.02) | 73.51% ( 2.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Tigre |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.96)2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.3)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.86% Total : 31.5% |
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