SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Central Cordoba |
55.94% ( -0.99) | 25.19% ( 0.34) | 18.87% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.54% ( -0.4) | 57.46% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( -0.32) | 78.26% ( 0.31) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.55) | 20.56% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.88) | 53.08% ( 0.88) |
| Central Cordoba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.04% ( 0.54) | 44.96% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.1% ( 0.43) | 80.9% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Central Cordoba |
| 1-0 @ 14.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.24% Total : 55.93% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.63% Total : 18.87% |
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