SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
54.07% ( 0.26) | 24.78% ( -0.1) | 21.16% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.09% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.57% ( 0.2) | 53.43% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.04% ( 0.17) | 74.96% ( -0.17) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( 0.18) | 19.72% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.27% ( 0.29) | 51.73% ( -0.29) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.89% ( -0.05) | 40.11% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.25% ( -0.05) | 76.75% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 54.05% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.16% |
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