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Asian Cup | Round of 16
Jan 29, 2024 at 4pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
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Qatar
2 - 1
Palestine

Al Heidos (45+6'), Afif (49' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dabbagh (37')
Seyam (15'), Saleh (48'), Mahajna (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 China
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
Asian Cup
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-3 Palestine
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup

We said: Qatar 1-0 Palestine

Qatar looked compact and comfortable at the back throughout the group stage, and we believe they will squeak past a highly motivated Palestinian side who give up their share of scoring opportunities. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
QatarDrawPalestine
45.48% (0.00099999999999767 0) 28.63% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 25.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 42.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.94% (-0.138 -0.14)63.06% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.49% (-0.099 -0.1)82.51% (0.101 0.1)
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.8% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)63.39% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Palestine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.95% (-0.113 -0.11)41.05% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.4% (-0.101 -0.1)77.6% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Qatar 45.47%
    Palestine 25.89%
    Draw 28.62%
QatarDrawPalestine
1-0 @ 14.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 11.41% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 25.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Qatar 1-0 China
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Tajikistan 0-1 Qatar
Wednesday, January 17 at 2.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 3-0 Lebanon
Friday, January 12 at 4pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-2 Jordan
Friday, January 5 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Qatar 3-0 Cambodia
Sunday, December 31 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: India 0-3 Qatar
Tuesday, November 21 at 1.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-3 Palestine
Tuesday, January 23 at 3pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Palestine 1-1 UAE
Thursday, January 18 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Iran 4-1 Palestine
Sunday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Asian Cup
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine
Tuesday, January 9 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Palestine 0-1 Uzbekistan
Sunday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Palestine 0-1 Australia
Tuesday, November 21 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia


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