SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for Jordan had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Jordan win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Jordan |
47.97% ( -0.26) | 24.94% ( 0.12) | 27.09% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.88% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% ( -0.4) | 48.9% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( -0.36) | 70.99% ( 0.37) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.27) | 20.42% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -0.43) | 52.86% ( 0.43) |
| Jordan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( -0.1) | 32.3% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( -0.11) | 68.8% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Jordan |
| 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.96% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.09% |
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