SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vietnam win with a probability of 46.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vietnam win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vietnam | Draw | Iraq |
46.94% ( 0.06) | 28.84% ( -0.2) | 24.22% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.79% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.38% ( 0.68) | 64.63% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.37% ( 0.47) | 83.63% ( -0.47) |
| Vietnam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0.36) | 27.8% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.62% ( 0.46) | 63.38% ( -0.45) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.49% ( 0.54) | 43.51% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.28% ( 0.45) | 79.72% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vietnam | Draw | Iraq |
| 1-0 @ 15.48% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.6% Total : 46.94% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 1% Total : 24.21% |
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