SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Philippines win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Indonesia |
36.88% ( 1.42) | 23.99% ( 0.13) | 39.13% ( -1.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.48) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.49) | 63.21% ( 0.49) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.52) | 22.14% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.47% ( 0.79) | 55.52% ( -0.79) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.93) | 21.02% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.19% ( -1.47) | 53.81% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philippines | Draw | Indonesia |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.88% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 36 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Brentford | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | Fulham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 9 |
| 18 | Everton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Burnley | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 7 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 |
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