SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Philippines had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Philippines win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philippines | Draw | Indonesia |
36.88% ( 1.42) | 23.99% ( 0.13) | 39.13% ( -1.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.48) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( -0.49) | 63.21% ( 0.49) |
| Philippines Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.85% ( 0.52) | 22.14% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.47% ( 0.79) | 55.52% ( -0.79) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -0.93) | 21.02% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( -1.47) | 53.81% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philippines | Draw | Indonesia |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.88% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.77% Total : 39.13% |
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