SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
34.99% ( -1.38) | 28.3% ( 0.15) | 36.71% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.63% ( -0.55) | 59.37% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.24% ( -0.43) | 79.76% ( 0.43) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( -1.16) | 32.08% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.44% ( -1.35) | 68.55% ( 1.35) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.02% ( 0.5) | 30.98% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( 0.59) | 67.29% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estonia | Draw | Faroe Islands |
| 1-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.3% | 0-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.7% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
