SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Latvia |
72.44% ( -0.1) | 16.19% ( 0.03) | 11.37% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.07) | 33.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.38% ( 0.08) | 55.62% ( -0.09) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( -0) | 8.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.49% ( -0.01) | 28.5% ( 0) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.3% ( 0.17) | 40.7% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.71% ( 0.15) | 77.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Latvia |
| 2-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.16% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.19% | 1-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.45% Total : 11.37% |
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