Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Belshina had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Belshina win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
