SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dinamo Minsk | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 4 | FC Minsk | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Minsk | 10 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Shakhtyor Soligorsk | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Isloch | 10 | 2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for FC Minsk had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest FC Minsk win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Minsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
25.91% ( 0.46) | 25.68% ( -0.3) | 48.4% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( 1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( 1.49) | 52.71% ( -1.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( 1.26) | 74.35% ( -1.26) |
| FC Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( 1.2) | 35.28% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.95% ( 1.23) | 72.04% ( -1.23) |
| Shakhtyor Soligorsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( 0.55) | 21.79% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( 0.83) | 54.99% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Minsk | Draw | Shakhtyor Soligorsk |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.91% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.29% Total : 48.4% |
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