Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belshina win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belshina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.