Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Shakhtyor Soligorsk win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
