Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Slavia Mozyr win it was 1-0 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
