Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
Result | ||
Cercle Brugge | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
51.01% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.11) | 26.46% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 61.53% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.45% ( -0.63) | 38.55% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.15% ( -0.67) | 60.84% ( 0.67) |
Cercle Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.69% ( -0.22) | 15.31% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.95% ( -0.42) | 44.04% ( 0.42) |
Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.66% ( -0.42) | 27.34% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.2% ( -0.55) | 62.8% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Cercle Brugge | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: