SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Beerschot Wilrijk win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cercle Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
51.01% ( 0.02) | 22.53% ( 0.11) | 26.46% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.53% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.45% ( -0.63) | 38.55% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0.67) | 60.84% ( 0.67) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( -0.22) | 15.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( -0.42) | 44.04% ( 0.42) |
| Beerschot Wilrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.66% ( -0.42) | 27.34% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.2% ( -0.55) | 62.8% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cercle Brugge | Draw | Beerschot Wilrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.01% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.46% |
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