SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.54%) and 0-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
19.96% ( -0.02) | 20.53% | 59.51% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.4% ( -0.02) | 36.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.25% ( -0.02) | 58.75% ( 0.02) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.34% ( -0.03) | 31.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.93% ( -0.03) | 68.07% ( 0.03) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.96% ( 0) | 12.03% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.48% ( 0) | 37.52% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.38% 2-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 19.96% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.53% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.67% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.19% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 4.26% Total : 59.51% |
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