SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 65.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 15.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Union SG |
15.41% ( 0.62) | 19.29% ( 0.46) | 65.3% ( -1.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( -0.84) | 38.89% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.8% ( -0.89) | 61.2% ( 0.88) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.88% ( 0.28) | 38.11% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.12% ( 0.28) | 74.88% ( -0.28) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( -0.52) | 11.16% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.36% ( -1.15) | 35.63% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.06% Total : 15.41% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.29% | 0-2 @ 10.22% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 7.47% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 7.21% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 4.1% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 3.95% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.8% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.24% Total : 65.3% |
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