SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-0 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | Gent |
20.26% ( -0.47) | 22.78% ( 0.01) | 56.96% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 52.84% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( -0.65) | 46.44% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( -0.61) | 68.72% ( 0.61) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.96% ( -0.85) | 37.04% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.17% ( -0.86) | 73.83% ( 0.86) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% ( -0.06) | 16.07% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.55% ( -0.12) | 45.45% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.26% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.77% | 0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.06% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.08)0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 56.96% |
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