SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 52.55%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
52.55% ( 0.83) | 22.65% ( -0.12) | 24.8% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.36% ( -0.14) | 40.64% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( -0.14) | 63.02% ( 0.14) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( 0.24) | 15.53% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( 0.44) | 44.46% ( -0.44) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.63) | 29.71% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( -0.77) | 65.77% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.55% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.15% Total : 24.8% |
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