SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 15.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Eupen win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
15.16% ( -0.1) | 18.46% ( -0.08) | 66.38% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( 0.18) | 35.42% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.54% ( 0.2) | 57.46% ( -0.2) |
| Eupen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( -0.01) | 36.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( -0.01) | 73.02% ( 0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% ( 0.09) | 9.92% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.16% ( 0.22) | 32.83% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eupen | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.16% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.46% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.5% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 66.38% |
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