SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 18.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
59.07% ( 0.21) | 21.94% ( -0.04) | 18.99% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.42% ( -0.06) | 44.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.06) | 66.95% ( 0.06) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( 0.05) | 14.74% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( 0.09) | 42.96% ( -0.09) |
| Cercle Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.22) | 37.31% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% ( -0.22) | 74.09% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.06% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.94% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.99% |
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