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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Luminus Arena

Genk
3 - 0
Charleroi

Arokodare (77'), Steuckers (83'), Adedeji-Sternberg (90')
Sattlberger (46'), Fink (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ousou (54'), Heymans (64'), De Mil (90+1'), Zorgane (90+1')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 4-0 Genk
Sunday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Westerlo
Saturday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
GenkDrawCharleroi
56.3% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 21.95% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 21.75% (0.037000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.89% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.18% (0.085000000000001 0.09)40.82% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.79% (0.088000000000001 0.09)63.21% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)14.36% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (0.039000000000001 0.04)42.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.59% (0.081000000000003 0.08)32.41% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.08% (0.091999999999999 0.09)68.92% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Genk 56.3%
    Charleroi 21.75%
    Draw 21.94%
GenkDrawCharleroi
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.76% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 56.3%
1-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 21.75%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 4-0 Genk
Sunday, November 10 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 2-0 Antwerp
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 0-2 Genk
Sunday, October 27 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 3-2 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, October 20 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kortrijk 2-1 Genk
Saturday, October 5 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 2-1 Mechelen
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Westerlo
Saturday, November 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 2-0 Charleroi
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 0-2 Leuven
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 2-1 Charleroi
Sunday, October 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Dender 1-0 Charleroi
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Brugge
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League


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