Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
Result | ||
Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
56.3% ( -0.03) | 21.95% ( -0.01) | 21.75% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( 0.09) | 40.82% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( 0.09) | 63.21% ( -0.09) |
Genk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.64% ( 0.02) | 14.36% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.77% ( 0.04) | 42.23% ( -0.04) |
Charleroi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.59% ( 0.08) | 32.41% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.08% ( 0.09) | 68.92% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Genk | Draw | Charleroi |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.11% Total : 56.3% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.94% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.75% |
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