SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 81.62%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Kortrijk had a probability of 5.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.16%) and 1-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.97%), while for a Kortrijk win it was 0-1 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
81.62% ( 0.77) | 12.55% ( -0.38) | 5.83% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( 0.15) | 36.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( 0.17) | 58.25% ( -0.17) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.25% ( 0.19) | 6.75% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.06% ( 0.51) | 24.93% ( -0.51) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.78% ( -1.1) | 55.21% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.99% ( -0.66) | 88.01% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.28)1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.87% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.19)5-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.72% Total : 81.6% | 1-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.47% Total : 12.55% | 0-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.85% Total : 5.83% |
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