Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 20.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Sint-Truiden
56.16%	23.01% ( 0.02)	20.83% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.31% (

-0.16)

46.69% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.05% (

-0.15)

68.95% (

0.14)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.56% (

-0.06)

16.43% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.89% (

-0.1)

46.11% (

0.1)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.4% (

-0.12)

36.6% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.61% (

-0.12)

73.39% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Genk 56.16%

Sint-Truiden 20.83%

Draw 23%

Genk	Draw	Sint-Truiden
1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.16%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.83%