SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 56.16% | 23.01% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.16) | 46.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.15) | 68.95% ( 0.14) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( -0.06) | 16.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.89% ( -0.1) | 46.11% ( 0.1) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( -0.12) | 36.6% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.61% ( -0.12) | 73.39% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 20.83% |
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