Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Genk had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
