Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 13.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.