SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 62.8%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
62.8% ( 0.13) | 19.97% ( -0.05) | 17.22% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.43% ( 0.12) | 38.56% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.13% ( 0.12) | 60.86% ( -0.12) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.26% ( 0.07) | 11.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.12% ( 0.15) | 36.87% ( -0.15) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.29% ( -0.01) | 35.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.52% ( -0.01) | 72.48% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.09% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.97% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 17.22% |
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