SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
41.66% ( 0.55) | 25.24% ( 0) | 33.1% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( -0.16) | 47.35% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( -0.15) | 69.57% ( 0.15) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 0.2) | 22.63% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.74% ( 0.3) | 56.26% ( -0.29) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( -0.41) | 27.32% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( -0.54) | 62.77% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.1% |
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