Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 58.14%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
58.14% ( -0.12) | 20.84% ( -0.02) | 21.02% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 60.73% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.41% ( 0.26) | 36.58% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.26% ( 0.28) | 58.74% ( -0.28) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.58% ( 0.05) | 12.42% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.68% ( 0.1) | 38.32% ( -0.1) |
Mechelen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( 0.27) | 30.66% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% ( 0.32) | 66.91% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Gent | Draw | Mechelen |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 58.14% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.84% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 21.02% |
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