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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 18
Dec 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
KM

Union SG
1 - 0
Mechelen

El Amine Amoura (54')
Nilsson (74'), Lapoussin (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bafdili (90+3')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Liverpool
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawMechelen
62.82% (1.982 1.98) 20.16% (-0.615 -0.62) 17.01% (-1.368 -1.37)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.16% (0.481 0.48)39.83% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.81% (0.498 0.5)62.19% (-0.499 -0.5)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.89% (0.70999999999999 0.71)12.11% (-0.711 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.33% (1.478 1.48)37.67% (-1.478 -1.48)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (-1.253 -1.25)36.72% (1.253 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-1.279 -1.28)73.51% (1.279 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 62.82%
    Mechelen 17.01%
    Draw 20.16%
Union SGDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.316 0.32)
1-0 @ 9.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.178 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.405 0.41)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.191 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.68% (0.308 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.035 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.12 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.55% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 62.82%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.181 -0.18)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 4.71% (-0.307 -0.31)
0-1 @ 4.46% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.23% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 17.01%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Liverpool
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-3 Union SG
Sunday, December 10 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, December 3 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Union SG
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-0 Kortrijk
Sunday, November 12 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Brugge
Sunday, December 10 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-2 Sint-Truiden
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-3 Mechelen
Sunday, November 26 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 1-0 Charleroi
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-2 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League


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