Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 62.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
Result | ||
Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
62.82% ( 1.98) | 20.16% ( -0.62) | 17.01% ( -1.37) |
Both teams to score 55.62% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% ( 0.48) | 39.83% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% ( 0.5) | 62.19% ( -0.5) |
Union SG Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.89% ( 0.71) | 12.11% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.33% ( 1.48) | 37.67% ( -1.48) |
Mechelen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.28% ( -1.25) | 36.72% ( 1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.49% ( -1.28) | 73.51% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Union SG | Draw | Mechelen |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.41) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.12) 5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.82% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.01% |
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