SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Standard Liege |
41.09% ( 0.23) | 25.73% ( -0.04) | 33.18% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.59% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.13) | 49.48% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( 0.11) | 71.51% ( -0.11) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.15% ( 0.17) | 23.85% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.97% ( 0.24) | 58.03% ( -0.24) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.69% ( -0.05) | 28.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.96% ( -0.07) | 64.04% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.18% |
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