Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
