SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
43.37% ( 0.1) | 21.51% ( 0.02) | 35.12% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 70.82% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.41% ( -0.16) | 28.58% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.53% ( -0.2) | 49.47% ( 0.19) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( -0.03) | 14.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.08% ( -0.06) | 41.91% ( 0.05) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( -0.13) | 17.46% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.07% ( -0.22) | 47.92% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Braga |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.7% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.12% |
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