SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Union SG |
23.47% ( -0.01) | 23.29% ( 0.05) | 53.23% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.61% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( -0.25) | 44.91% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.24) | 67.26% ( 0.23) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.86% ( -0.14) | 33.13% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.26% ( -0.16) | 69.73% ( 0.15) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( -0.11) | 16.83% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( -0.19) | 46.82% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.47% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.23% |
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