SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Club Brugge |
37.66% ( 1.22) | 26.67% ( 0.29) | 35.68% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.96% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.96% ( -1.23) | 53.04% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.37% ( -1.06) | 74.63% ( 1.06) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% ( 0.13) | 27.33% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.22% ( 0.16) | 62.78% ( -0.16) |
| Club Brugge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( -1.48) | 28.5% ( 1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( -1.9) | 64.27% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Club Brugge |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.65% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.68% |
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