We expect AZ Alkmaar to come out fighting in front of an expectant AFAS Stadion crowd, but Anderlecht should be able to limit the damage and reach the semi-finals thanks to their first-leg efforts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 1-2 (5.35%).
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