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Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
A

AZ
2 - 0
Anderlecht

AZ win 4-1 on penalties
Pavlidis (5' pen., 13')
Milos (29'), Reijnders (29'), Pavlidis (40'), Mijnans (80'), Clasie (114')
FT
(aet)

Diawara (32'), Amuzu (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genk 5-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We say: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Anderlecht (Anderlecht to win 3-2 on aggregate)

We expect AZ Alkmaar to come out fighting in front of an expectant AFAS Stadion crowd, but Anderlecht should be able to limit the damage and reach the semi-finals thanks to their first-leg efforts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 19.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 1-2 (5.35%).

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawAnderlecht
59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 21.09% (0.0010000000000012 0) 19.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 57.97% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94%13.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.64% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.94% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59%
    Anderlecht 19.91%
    Draw 21.09%
AZ AlkmaarDrawAnderlecht
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 6.72%
3-0 @ 6.12%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-1 @ 3.42%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 59%
1-1 @ 9.73%
2-2 @ 5.45%
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2%
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 19.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sittard 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: AZ 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, April 8 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-1 Heerenveen
Saturday, April 1 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 AZ
Sunday, March 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Lazio
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Genk 5-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Anderlecht 0-0 Westerlo
Sunday, April 9 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 0-1 Anderlecht
Sunday, April 2 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 0-2 Anderlecht
Sunday, March 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Anderlecht
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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