SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
65.75% ( 1.3) | 20.01% ( -0.36) | 14.25% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.31) | 44.62% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( -0.3) | 66.98% ( 0.31) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.27% ( 0.28) | 12.73% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.03% ( 0.57) | 38.97% ( -0.57) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% ( -1.49) | 43.26% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% ( -1.28) | 79.51% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 2-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.09% Total : 65.74% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.01% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.25% |
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