Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Sint-Truiden
62.77% ( -0.27)	19.52% ( 0.11)	17.71% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.51% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.54% (

-0.25)

35.46% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.5% (

-0.28)

57.51% (

0.28)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.18% (

-0.14)

10.82% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.11% (

-0.32)

34.89% (

0.32)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.73% (

0.02)

33.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.12% (

0.02)

69.88% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Genk 62.77%

Sint-Truiden 17.71%

Draw 19.52%

Genk	Draw	Sint-Truiden
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.88% Total : 62.77%	1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 19.52%	1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 17.71%