Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Sint-Truiden	Draw	Leuven
37.02% ( 0.05)	25.02% ( -0.01)	37.95% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 57.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.25% (

0.03)

45.75% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.93% (

0.02)

68.06% (

-0.02)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.04)

24.29% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.05)

58.66% (

-0.05)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2% (

-0.01)

23.8% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.03% (

-0.02)

57.96% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Sint-Truiden 37.03%

Leuven 37.95%

Draw 25.02%

Sint-Truiden	Draw	Leuven
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 11.74% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.02%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.02% 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.95%