Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
33.8% ( -0.35) | 24.2% ( 0) | 41.99% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% ( -0.11) | 42.39% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% ( -0.11) | 64.8% ( 0.11) |
Sint-Truiden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( -0.25) | 24.53% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( -0.35) | 59% ( 0.35) |
Gent Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.11) | 20.36% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( 0.17) | 52.76% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Sint-Truiden | Draw | Gent |
2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.8% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 41.99% |
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