Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 56.53%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 1-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Westerlo
56.53% ( -0.81)	21.43% ( 0.15)	22.03% ( 0.66)

Both teams to score 60.14% (

0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.96% (

0.18)

38.04% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.69% (

0.19)

60.31% (

-0.2)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.64% (

-0.19)

13.36% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.74% (

-0.37)

40.25% (

0.37)

Westerlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

0.69)

30.58% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18% (

0.81)

66.81% (

-0.82)

Score Analysis

Genk 56.53%

Westerlo 22.03%

Draw 21.43%

Genk	Draw	Westerlo
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.67% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.43%	1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.03%