SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Standard Liege |
64.92% ( -0.18) | 18.69% ( 0.16) | 16.38% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.04% ( -0.76) | 33.96% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.18% ( -0.87) | 55.82% ( 0.87) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.14% ( -0.26) | 9.86% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.29% ( -0.59) | 32.7% ( 0.59) |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( -0.46) | 33.82% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( -0.5) | 70.48% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.44% Total : 64.92% | 1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.69% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 16.38% |
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